Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today. The #7 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Mauricio Dubon encounters a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 45.2% to 40%.

The #7 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Yariel Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. Last season, Yainer Diaz had a launch angle of 14.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 8.8°.

The #7 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Bo Bichette will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros. Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (3.6°) is considerably lower than his 7.8° angle last year. Checking in at the 20th percentile, Bo Bichette sports a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Daulton Varsho generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Davis Schneider tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Among every team on the slate today, the 6th-best infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.

Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Justin Turner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 86.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today.

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ernie Clement hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .262 BA is a good deal lower than his .290 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today. Over the past week, Jeremy Pena's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 9.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today. Chas McCormick has posted a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. This season, Alejandro Kirk has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.5 mph compared to last year's 90.6 mph mark.

Jon Singleton is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge in today's game. Jon Singleton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Trey Cabbage will have an advantage in today's matchup. Trey Cabbage hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the 6th-strongest out of every team playing today.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.