Cincinnati @ New York Picks & Props

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Will Benson's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.7%.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Trent Grisham will have an advantage today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Trent Grisham's launch angle from last year's 18.3° to 25° this season. Trent Grisham has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .190 figure is deflated compared to his .203 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Luis Gil in today's game. Elly De La Cruz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the past two weeks. Elly De La Cruz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph EV.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Nick Martini will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nick Martini has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 95.5-mph over the past week.

Jake Fraley is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jake Fraley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 14.1% on the season to 31.8% in the last 14 days. Posting a .330 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley has performed in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Noelvi Marte has compiled a .296 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Benjamin Rice has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph. Over the last 7 days, Benjamin Rice's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Extreme flyball bats like Aaron Judge tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball hitters like Austin Wells tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Graham Ashcraft. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck this year. His .213 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254. Austin Wells ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48% rate this year).

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Jonathan India has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days. In the past two weeks, Jonathan India's 62.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%. With a .344 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Jonathan India finds himself in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Spencer Steer has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks. Spencer Steer has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.4-mph over the past 14 days. In terms of plate discipline, Spencer Steer's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.96 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 77th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Jose Trevino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

DJ LeMahieu's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 93-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Stuart Fairchild's launch angle this season (20.2°) is considerably higher than his 14.1° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Luke Maile has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.