Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 30% over the last 14 days. David Hamilton grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (51.3% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Masataka Yoshida's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.8% rate since the start of last season).

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 102.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jarren Duran has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brayan Bello) in today's game. Vidal Brujan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 14 days. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28.6° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19° seasonal figure.

Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nick Gordon will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Gordon will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Gordon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 42.5% on the season to 70% over the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.8% to 12.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .193 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .078 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .271.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .059 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) suggests that Romy Gonzalez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.