Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Nico Hoerner has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's game. In the past 7 days, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 90.5 mph to 84.8 mph. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 46.9% on the season to 26.3% in the past week. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has had some very good luck given the .030 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Michael Busch's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph lately.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Zack Wheeler. Ian Happ has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dansby Swanson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph mark.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Cristian Pache will have an advantage in today's game. Batters such as Cristian Pache with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shota Imanaga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Cristian Pache's footspeed has increased this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.38 ft/sec now.

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Whit Merrifield will have an edge today. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Whit Merrifield has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 87.6-mph.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .338 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) suggests that Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance this year with his .189 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Edmundo Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to more offense. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga today.