Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Johan Rojas has been unlucky given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .278.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Christopher Morel will have the upper hand in today's game. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 25%.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, David Dahl will have the upper hand in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have an edge today. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today. Garrett Stubbs's 21.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 94th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Alec Bohm will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Today, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 7 days, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 83.6 mph. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 46.8% on the season to 26.7% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Trea Turner will have a disadvantage today. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .342 mark is inflated compared to his .275 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott today. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 80.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Bryson Stott's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 12.4° seasonal angle.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Tomas Nido will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Tomas Nido will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Tomas Nido has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .244 figure is a good deal lower than his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Tomas Nido's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 81st percentile at 94.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Patrick Wisdom is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Patrick Wisdom will have an advantage in today's matchup. Patrick Wisdom pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Patrick Wisdom tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today. Kody Clemens has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph average.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, David Bote will have an edge in today's game. David Bote will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.