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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+112 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.18 |
-125 
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+148
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.01 |
-195
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.41 |
+160
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-124
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -270
|
|
3.84 |
+108
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +195
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+165
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.94 |
-190
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+140
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.26 |
-155
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +142
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-104
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.18 |
-108
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+105
|
o8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+138
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.91 |
-154
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total RBIs (+550)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+180 
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.59 |
-210
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
6.44 |
-240
|
u9.5 -134
|
-1.5 -109
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
+105
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -210 
|
|
4.79 |
-120
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jorge Mateo o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+135
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.66 |
-148
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-1 in Martins last 9 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total RBIs (+600)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-110
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.44 |
+100
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-2 in Royals last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+117
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.48 |
-130
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)
o0.5+248
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+250
|
o8.5 -115
|
+2.5 -150
|
|
5.71 |
-278
|
u9.0 -125
|
-2.5 +105
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total RBIs (+720)
o0.5+230
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total RBIs (+650)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Bryce Eldridge will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game.. Bryce Eldridge has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (16th percentile K%) — great news for Eldridge.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bryce Eldridge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blade Tidwell today.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Kent throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total RBIs (+600)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's matchup.. Wyatt Langford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
Total Hits
Gunnar Henderson u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-124)
Projection 2.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total RBIs (+484)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Schwarber tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Gasper in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Mickey Gasper will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ryan Johnson.. Mickey Gasper will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's matchup.. Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano has a pitch-to-contact profile (10th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Total Bases
Jorge Mateo o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total RBIs (+600)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total RBIs (+475)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Logan Henderson.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.. Jake Bauers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total RBIs (+720)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.. Extreme flyball bats like JJ Bleday usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
