Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Michael A. Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael A. Taylor's true offensive skill to be a .280, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .041 difference between that figure and his actual .239 wOBA.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 6th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Batting from the opposite that Josh Fleming throws from, William Contreras will have the upper hand today. Typically, hitters like William Contreras who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Josh Fleming. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. William Contreras has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph dropping to 90.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.

11% of the time that Jackson Chourio has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 6th-most favorable for pitching of the day. Jackson Chourio will hold the platoon advantage against Josh Fleming in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jackson Chourio tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Josh Fleming.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Joey Bart has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.3-mph average.

Jared Triolo's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.291) suggests that Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck this year with his .253 actual wOBA.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the last week, Jack Suwinski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 36.4%. Jack Suwinski has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 96.4-mph in the past 7 days. Jack Suwinski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 14.8% on the season to 27.8% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge today. Rowdy Tellez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

Oneil Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .035 gap.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Vinny Capra will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Andruw Monasterio will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andruw Monasterio has been unlucky this year, posting a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .055 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Josh Fleming will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Mitchell today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the same side that Josh Fleming throws from, Christian Yelich meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Josh Palacios is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Josh Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Josh Palacios has been hot recently, notching a 94.1-mph average exit velocity over the last week.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This game is predicted to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Yasmani Grandal has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph figure. Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has been unlucky given the .062 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Josh Fleming will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brice Turang today. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Brice Turang grades out in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .284.

Blake Perkins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage today. Blake Perkins has notched a .331 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Batters such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Josh Fleming who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Josh Fleming.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Eric Haase will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eric Haase has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .243 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .264.