MLB Picks

Despite not having his best stuff, Gilbert has still struck out 13 batters in 10 2/3 innings of work. He's also dominated this Rangers lineup, limiting them to a .202 xBA with a 26.8% K-rate.

Logan Gilbert had a 4.41 ERA against the Rangers last season, giving up eight earned across three starts. Not terrible, but not elite, either. While Jacob deGrom’s ERA was north of five against the Mariners in 2025, Seattle’s offense is struggling, and its core pieces have yet to produce. 

The Rockies cashed a parlay for me yesterday, and I wasn’t expecting to back them again on the moneyline—but here we are. Go Rockies! The Houston Astros are sending Cody Bolton out for his first career start due to Hunter Brown’s injury. Even if Bolton manages to navigate Coors Field, he’s a career reliever, which means Houston will likely lean heavily on its bullpen—just one day after playing a 10-inning game against the Athletics in Sacramento. This sets up as a tough scheduling spot for the Astros, and the price on Colorado feels too strong to pass up. The Rockies are trading at +164 on the moneyline, but I make them closer to a +125 underdog.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hunter Goodman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

We get a great pitcher's duel here. Chris Sale vs. Jose Soriano. Both have only surrendered four hits this season. The Braves haven't plated a ton of runs outside of their 17-run outburst against the D-backs, and southpaws have been a problem for the Halos dating back to last season.

Chris Sale will be the difference here. He has only given up four hits over his first two starts, and the Los Angeles Angels have the fourth-highest strikeout rate this season, a year after having the highest K-rate in the bigs when facing left-handed pitching.

These teams have played vastly different schedules to start the year, creating value on the home team. The Giants are just 3-7 but have faced three quality teams (Yankees, Padres, Mets) and will be playing their fifth consecutive game at home. Philadelphia is 5-4, but its series wins came against two of the worst teams in the league (Rockies and Nationals). It’s not an ideal travel spot, coming off an uninspiring 1-4 loss in Colorado. 

There’s too much talent and past production in San Francisco’s lineup for these results to hold for too long, but right now they paint an undeniable picture — this lineup is riding the struggle bus. 

The Giants are 23 points worse in wRC+ (45) and 58 points worse in wOBA (.229) against RHP than any other team. They’ve plated three or fewer runs in eight of their 10 games. 

Both starting pitchers had a 117 Pitching+ in their respective debuts, and both bullpens are due for positive regression with top-12 SIERA marks but bottom-10 ERAs.

Pittsburgh has won five straight games heading into Monday's series opener against the Padres and will send Paul Skenes to the mound for Game 2 in what hopes to be a bounce-back effort after getting pulled in the first inning against the Mets on Opening Day. I'm not expecting a second straight bad outing for Skenes.