Seattle @ San Diego Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jackson Merrill has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile with a 3.69 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.9°, Dylan Moore has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 54° angle over the past week. Dylan Moore has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .212 BA is quite a bit lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.6°, Ty France has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.2° mark in the past two weeks.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Mitch Garver has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.7-mph over the past 7 days. Mitch Garver has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Mitch Garver has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.1° figure over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's game. Ha-seong Kim has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 93.8-mph over the last week. Compared to last year, Ha-seong Kim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.9% to 17.9% this season.

The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.1-mph. Over the past 14 days, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.1 mph to 82.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game. J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 17.2%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today's game. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luke Raley has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 15% over the past two weeks.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Brett Sullivan is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Sullivan will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 44.4%. Julio Rodriguez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 106.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last 14 days. In comparison to his 89.6-mph average last year, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.5 mph. Cal Raleigh has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 97.4-mph over the last week.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Jurickson Profar will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42% to 50.2%. Jurickson Profar has put up a .298 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.6-mph. Jorge Polanco's launch angle recently (-17° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.5° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) implies that Jorge Polanco has suffered from bad luck this year with his .262 actual wOBA.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Josh Rojas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph. When it comes to plate discipline, Josh Rojas's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 76th percentile. In notching a .324 BABIP this year, Josh Rojas finds himself in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Donovan Solano's launch angle this year (17°) is significantly higher than his 12.9° mark last season.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. With a .348 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Victor Robles grades out in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills. When it comes to plate discipline, Victor Robles's talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 90th percentile. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Victor Robles sports a .286 batting average since the start of last season.

David Peralta will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 46.8% to 56.1%.