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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+113 
|
o6.5 -139
|
+1.5 -200 
|
|
4.44 |
-130 
|
u7.5 -142 
|
-1.5 +172
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rasmussens last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+105 
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.22 |
-120
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +175 
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+138
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.27 |
-150
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +146
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+120
|
o7.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.39 |
-135 
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
o1.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
+129
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.32 |
-145
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.72 |
+110
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.72 |
-125
|
u7.0 -125
|
-1.5 +175
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Boston
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+312
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.34 |
+117
|
o6.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
3.83 |
-130
|
u6.5 +105
|
-1.5 +173
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+160
|
o9.0 -123
|
+1.5 -131
|
|
5.26 |
-184
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Abbotts last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-114
|
o7.5 -128
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
4.19 |
+100
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +195
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games following a win.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 |
+185
|
o6.5 -112
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
3.66 |
-210
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +110
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+125
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.63 |
-140
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Texas
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.20 |
-186
|
o10.5 -130
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.06 |
+165
|
u11.5 -127
|
+1.5 +105
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+126
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.52 |
-140
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +146
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Seattle
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Mariners last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.42 |
-104
|
o9.5 +101
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
5.08 |
-109
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -175 
|
LA Angels
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 19-7-1 in Angels last 27 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
o1.5+101
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
-130
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +132
|
|
3.39 |
+115
|
u7.5 -102
|
+1.5 -152
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+105
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -192
|
|
4.90 |
-120
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Junior Caminero as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Heliot Ramos has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
TOR
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (90%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
MIL
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
STL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge today.. Brandon Lowe has a ton of pop (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Lowe.. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Andre Pallante in today's game.. Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
CLE
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jahmai Jones ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Jahmai Jones will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jahmai Jones pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.
CIN
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Sean Murphy u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. This game is projected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brandon Williamson.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game.
CHW
@
KC
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.9-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for mound aces.. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest CF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brenton Doyle today.
NYM
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Corey Seager u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Corey Seager will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against MacKenzie Gore today.
HOU
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today's game.. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#3-worst on the slate).
LAA
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Yusei Kikuchi in this game.. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 82°.. Shea Langeliers will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today.. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
SD
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-120)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers are trading as a 54% favorite, but I price them closer to 57%, so I'm hitting the button at this price. Justin Wrobleski will open the game, but the Dodgers also plan to use Roki Sasaki in a relief role as he returns from the injured list with a blister and prepares for a potential bullpen role in the postseason. Sasaki in relief is an intriguing weapon because he can empty the tank for a couple of innings, attack hitters with his high-octane four-seamer at the top of the zone and work his splitter off it down in the zone, rather than conserving his arm for 90-plus pitches. That usage is flying under the radar in this matchup, and I think it's a big reason we're seeing an edge at the current market price. Sasaki gives the Dodgers a legitimate weapon in middle relief who can help bridge the game to the back end of their bullpen.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Max Muncy o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today at 80%.. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game.. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
