Washington @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

This year, Jackson Chourio has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. Jackson Chourio has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by MLB's 7th-deepest RF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 89.4 mph to 86.2 mph. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 13.1% on the season to 0% over the past week.

William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 9.6% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Mitchell Parker throws from, Christian Yelich faces a tough challenge in today's game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lane Thomas today. Lane Thomas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 74.6 mph. Over the last 14 days, Lane Thomas's 5.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

CJ Abrams's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (18.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (19.5°) is significantly better than his 15.1° angle last year. Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .035 discrepancy.

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Eric Haase will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eric Haase will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Jacob Young's 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Juan Yepez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Juan Yepez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Riley Adams will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Riley Adams really hits the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) rate him as one of the game's best: in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.5% rate since the start of last season).

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Mitchell Parker today. Blake Perkins will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Blake Perkins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph lately.

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel today. Over the past 7 days, LaVictor Lipscomb's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Luis Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Harold Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 96th percentile.

American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today.