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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.18 |
-230 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 -130 
|
|
4.17 |
+196
|
u8.5 +100 
|
+1.5 +115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yamamotos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lowders last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+112
|
o8.5 -108 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.75 |
-130
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +168
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+190 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
4.81 |
-220
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Jaxs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-240
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 -135
|
|
3.91 |
+210
|
u7.5 -105 
|
+1.5 +115
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowskis last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
-205
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
2.97 |
+180
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
u0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.36 |
-130
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+268)
o0.5+268
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+110
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.69 |
-125
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.82 |
-135
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
o0.5+1200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.31 |
-166
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.73 |
+150
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
o0.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+140
|
o8.0 -118
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
4.95 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +195
|
San Francisco
- Over is 7-0 in Giants last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Tidwells last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
-124
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.92 |
+106
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -160
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+140
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.25 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5+229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.49 |
-188
|
o11.0 -137
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.87 |
+170
|
u11.5 -114
|
+1.5 +108
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
o1.5+100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.78 |
+145
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+135
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.96 |
-150
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
o1.5+100
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives Los Angeles a massive edge on the mound against Rhett Lowder, who carries a 5.81 ERA into Tuesday. Rather than paying a premium on the Dodgers moneyline, I’ll lay the run and a half. With L.A.’s lineup capable of creating separation against Lowder, this sets up well for a multi-run Dodgers win.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today's game.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'm definitely backing the Cleveland Guardians and Foster Griffin at 55%, as I price them closer to a 59% favorite against the Chicago White Sox in this crucial AL Central matchup. This is a tough matchup for White Sox starter Davis Martin. His main strikeout pitches are his slider and curveball, but the Guardians are likely to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, meaning those pitches will be breaking into the barrels of their hitters. We also know how patient this lineup is. Martin doesn't feature an overpowering four-seam fastball and instead leans on his sinker as his best pitch. However, hitters such as José Ramírez and Chase DeLauter are exceptional contact hitters who can waste this pitch. Martin is going to be forced to challenge the Guardians in the zone with his four-seamer, and that's an advantage for Cleveland.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tropicana Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team in action today.. Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#1-worst on the slate).
Total RBIs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tropicana Field projects as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 16.5% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Lake Bachar o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-185)
Projection 3.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lake Bachar in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Lake Bachar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. Lake Bachar's 2709-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all SPs.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Lake Bachar must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 60.7% of the time, grading out in the 77th percentile.. Placing in the 79th percentile, Lake Bachar has compiled a 24.7% Strikeout% this year.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast metrics, Brandon Lowe is in the 87th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.300.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
Total Hits
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Dylan Crews has notched a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.. Posting a 3.59 K/BB rate this year, Dylan Crews has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+268)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Spencer Torkelson has paced 30.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Spencer Torkelson has averaged 24.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 76th percentile for power.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ronald Acuna Jr. has had bad variance on his side given the .027 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .373.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.. Ben Rice has compiled a .422 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today's game.. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Ryan McMahon has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-worst park in the majors for lefty home runs.. The 10th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Target Field.. The league's 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-136)
Projection 4.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Andre Pallante places in the 75th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jonah Cox, Grant McCray, Bryce Eldridge, Shay Whitcomb, Drew Cavanaugh).. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jacob Metz) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Given that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected offense.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.. Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past two weeks.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell u1.5 Total Bases (-325)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Taylor Trammell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.. The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB.
Total Bases
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Altuve's launch angle of late (24.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 10.6° seasonal figure.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake McCarthy o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 3.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Freeland will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kyle Freeland has used his off-speed and breaking balls 7.1% more often this season (67.4%) than he did last year (60.3%).
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Lazaro Montes u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lazaro Montes is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lazaro Montes today.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Lawlar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Lawlar in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Lawlar will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jordan Lawlar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 87.5-mph.
Total RBIs
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Tim Tawa will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. In the past week, Tim Tawa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph of late.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
