San Francisco @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Elias Diaz's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 86.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.8-mph in the last 14 days. Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.2-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph. Elias Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (-2.9° over the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 5.9° seasonal figure.

Brendan Rodgers has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Brendan Rodgers's launch angle in recent games (1.5° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 4.5° seasonal mark. Brendan Rodgers's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.1° mark last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.278) implies that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .325 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276. In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite weak, posting an 8.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 1st percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, compiling a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .051 discrepancy.

Charlie Blackmon's BABIP talent is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. There has been a decrease in Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity this year, from 86.4 mph last year to 84.4 mph now As it relates to his batting average, Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side this year. His .259 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°.

The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Toglia has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 18.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.

The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Sean Bouchard will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Sean Bouchard will hold that advantage today.

The #1 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Hunter Goodman meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.