MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

LAD @

WAS Sat, Apr 4 • 4:05 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Outs Recorded

Tyler Glasnow u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)

Projection 16.71

Best Odds

u17.5 +115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 -109

u17.5 -104

u17.5 +115

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Tyler Glasnow has compiled a .230 BABIP since the start of last season, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.. Tyler Glasnow's 3rd percentile walk rate (11.6% since the start of last season) is evidence of his poor control ability.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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BAL @

PIT Sat, Apr 4 • 4:05 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Outs Recorded

Carmen Mlodzinski u14.5 Outs Recorded (+111)

Projection 13.65

Best Odds

u14.5 +111

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 +111

u14.5 +109

u14.5 +105

Carmen Mlodzinski has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 11.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Carmen Mlodzinski's 2139-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 17th percentile among all SPs.. Carmen Mlodzinski has notched an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile.

+111 at DraftKings

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MIA @

NYY Sat, Apr 4 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Austin Slater u0.5 Total Hits (+136)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +136

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +136

u0.5 +120

The #3 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.

+136 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+148)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +148

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +140

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #27 stadium in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.

+148 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

CIN @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sat, Apr 4 • 7:05 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Outs Recorded

Kumar Rocker u14.5 Outs Recorded (+125)

Projection 13.98

Best Odds

u14.5 +125

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 +125

Tallying 13.8 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Kumar Rocker checks in at the 6th percentile.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Kumar Rocker's 2189-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 25th percentile out of all starters.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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MIL @

KC Sat, Apr 4 • 7:10 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks

Total

u9.0 (-110)

Best Odds

u9.0 +100

Pick made: 9 hours ago

u9.0 -105

u9.0 -106

u9.0 -105

u9.0 +100

Kansas City bats are off to a bit of a slow start, ranking 16th in OPS and 17th in wRC+, and face a Brewers bullpen that ranks second in xFIP.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

MIL (-110)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 9 hours ago

-118

-115

-118

-120

The Brew Crew enter this game ranked third in both wRC+ and OPS and have plated six or more runs in five of their six games this season, going against Royals prospect Luinder Avila.

Read Full Analysis

View 9 Picks

TB @

MIN Sat, Apr 4 • 7:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Mick Abel u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)

Projection 3.7

Best Odds

u4.5 -130

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 -135

u4.5 -130

u4.5 -132

u4.5 -140

Compared to league average, Mick Abel has been given less leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an -7.7 fewer adjusted pitches each game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Mick Abel has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55.6% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.. Mick Abel has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 9.14 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.19 — a 0.95 K/9 gap.

-130 at FanDuel

Outs Recorded

Steven Matz u14.5 Outs Recorded (+150)

Projection 14.67

Best Odds

u14.5 +150

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 +141

u14.5 +150

Recording 13.5 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Steven Matz ranks in the 21st percentile.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 3rd-best field in the game for walks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Steven Matz has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 53.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

PHI @

COL Sat, Apr 4 • 8:10 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Outs Recorded

Jesus Luzardo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)

Projection 16.86

Best Odds

u17.5 +135

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for batting average.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In his last outing, Jesus Luzardo conceded a colossal 6 earned runs.. Jesus Luzardo's 2237-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile out of all starters.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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NYM @

SF Sat, Apr 4 • 9:05 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.61

Best Odds

o0.5 +195

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +119

o0.5 +175

Oracle Park grades out as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences in the majors.. The weather forecast projects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.

+195 at bet365

Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.63

Best Odds

o0.5 +145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +140

+145 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

SEA @

LAA Sat, Apr 4 • 9:38 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Strikeouts Thrown

Emerson Hancock u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)

Projection 4.42

Best Odds

u4.5 +120

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 +120

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Emerson Hancock in the 17th percentile among all starters in the majors.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Emerson Hancock has relied on his four-seam fastball 27.1% more often this season (52.6%) than he did last year (25.5%).. Emerson Hancock has posted a 15.7% strikeout rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 8th percentile.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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