LIVE 10th Sep 18
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Detroit @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Alejandro Kirk has posted a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Alejandro Kirk has posted a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Flaherty's large platoon split. There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 6.1° this year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.6° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 5.7° seasonal angle.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Flaherty's large platoon split. There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 6.1° this year. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (0.6° over the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 5.7° seasonal angle.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, George Springer will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. In the last week, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 15.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. Sporting a .249 BABIP this year, George Springer grades out in the 13th percentile.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, George Springer will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. In the last week, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 15.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. Sporting a .249 BABIP this year, George Springer grades out in the 13th percentile.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto

S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Given Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Because of Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Kevin Kiermaier will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Because of Jack Flaherty's large platoon split, Kevin Kiermaier will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Danny Jansen is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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