Baltimore @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.95 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has posted a .322 BABIP this year.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Josh Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 25%. In the last 7 days, Josh Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.6-mph lately.

Corey Seager projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's game. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Corey Seager has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .351 figure is a fair amount lower than his .375 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Jonah Heim has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 20.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Foscue will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Marcus Semien has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.1°. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV. In the last week, Adolis Garcia's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) provides evidence that Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Leody Taveras's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) suggests that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .279 actual wOBA.

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Last season, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.278) suggests that Travis Jankowski has been unlucky this year with his .236 actual wOBA. Posting a 1.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Andrew Knizner will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Andrew Knizner has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .161 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .256 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.