Arizona @ Kansas City Picks & Props

In today's matchup, Garrett Hampson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.3% rate (95th percentile). Out of all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. As it relates to his batting average, Garrett Hampson has had some very good luck this year. His .258 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217. Based on Statcast data, Garrett Hampson grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .290. Garrett Hampson's 4.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive skill to be a .369, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 difference between that figure and his actual .400 wOBA.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) implies that Salvador Perez has been very fortunate this year with his .280 actual batting average.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Maikel Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.7-mph mark last year has dropped to 90.1-mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.4°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.2°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side (0) today against Alec Marsh Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today's matchup. Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 10% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.

Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's matchup. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 9%. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 34.9% on the season to 21.7% in the past 14 days.

Alek Thomas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 85°. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Alec Marsh in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Sporting a 1.3 K/BB rate this year, Gabriel Moreno has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Dairon Blanco will have the upper hand today. Dairon Blanco will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.