Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 1, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
DET
@
TB
Mon, Jun 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-136)
Jonathan Aranda’s hits, runs, RBI prop stands out despite the heavy juice, backed by a strong 61.36% hit rate across his last 44 elite Batters-Box ratings. While 2+ bases offers plus money value, the hit rate slightly favors the HRR side in this spot. He draws Tigers right hander Ty Madden, who has struggled with left handed hitters, allowing a .324 xBA and .443 xSLG. Aranda also owns strong recent form against righties with elite contact, power, and elevation metrics, plus an 81% arsenal coverage edge. With a solid walk rate, the profile supports HRR value if priced -140 or better.
MIA
@
WAS
Mon, Jun 1 • 6:45 PM ET
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
James Wood enters Monday in a dream matchup against Sandy Alcantara, who has struggled badly against left-handed hitters. Over the last 30 lefties he's faced, Alcantara has allowed a 50% hard-hit rate, 15.4% barrel rate, .455 xwOBA, and .695 xSLG while generating very few ground balls. Wood, meanwhile, has been one of baseball's hottest hitters, posting a .509 xwOBA and 31.25% barrel rate over his last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitching. Add in his elite 94.5% arsenal coverage against Alcantara's pitch mix, and the Nationals slugger is in a prime spot to clear 1.5 total bases.
James Wood o0.5 Total Home Runs (+285)
James Wood will be licking his chops tonight as the Washington Nationals star faces Miami Marlins right-hander Sandy Alcantara. The veteran has allowed 53.9% of his contact through the air and posted a poor 4.97 FIP in May. Opponents are also making plenty of loud contact against Alcantara, producing a 40.4% hard-hit rate this past month, while he's allowing 1.61 HR/9 over his last five starts. This bodes well for Wood. He's in the 100th percentile in xSLG, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate.
KC
@
CIN
Mon, Jun 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Chase Burns has been dominant this season, posting a sub-2.00 ERA while clearing this strikeout number in three straight starts. He now faces a Royals team riding a six-game losing streak that struck out 12 times in its last game.
Spencer Steer also finds himself in a favorable matchup against Luinder Avila. Steer has at least one hit in four straight games, including a three-base effort last time out, and looks well-positioned to cash his two total bases prop.
CHW
@
MIN
Mon, Jun 1 • 7:40 PM ET
SF
@
MIL
Mon, Jun 1 • 7:40 PM ET
u7.5 (-120)
While the Giants scored 19 runs on Sunday, that outburst heavily inflates their recent offensive numbers. Milwaukee's pitching situation remains strong behind Shane Drohan and an elite bullpen, while Landen Roupp has posted a 2.71 FIP across his last two starts. This pitching matchup could keep scoring limited.
MIL (-140)
Milwaukee's bullpen advantage is difficult to ignore in this matchup. The Brewers' relievers have allowed just a 6% barrel rate this season and enter rested after only two bullpen arms were used on Sunday. Meanwhile, San Francisco's bullpen owns a 4.88 xERA and 5.40 xFIP over the last week.
TEX
@
STL
Mon, Jun 1 • 7:45 PM ET
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+378)
Jordan Walker is having a breakout campaign with 15 home runs, and he comes up against Jacob deGrom tonight. While the veteran's 3.77 ERA is respectable, the underlying numbers are more concerning. He's allowing a 46.2% hard-hit rate this season, and that number jumped to 51.2% in May, when he also posted a 5.62 FIP. Walker owns a 21.2% HR/FB rate against right-handed pitching this season and has produced a 57.9% hard-hit rate over the last week.
COL
@
LAA
Mon, Jun 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Mike Trout o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)
Mike Trout continues to produce elite power metrics, carrying a 48.6% hard-hit rate and a 21% barrel rate that ranks in the 98th percentile. He'll face Kyle Freeland on Monday, and the Rockies left-hander owned a 9.41 xERA in May while allowing opponents to post a 44.6% hard-hit rate.
NYM
@
SEA
Mon, Jun 1 • 9:40 PM ET
SEA (-130)
The Seattle Mariners are trading as -130 favorites against the New York Mets, and I’m hitting the button on that number because I price the Mariners closer to -150 favorites in this spot. The Mets are expected to stack the top of their lineup with left-handed bats against the right-handed Emerson Hancock, but he has made some important adjustments to his pitch mix this season. As a result, left-handed hitters are batting just .209 with a .623 OPS against him. The changeup was a major problem for Hancock last season, as he surrendered plenty of home runs off that pitch. This year, however, he has leaned much more heavily on a back-foot slider and a four-seam fastball. That adjustment has played a significant role in his success and should serve him well in this matchup against the Mets.
LAD
@
AZ
Mon, Jun 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Both bullpens are in fine form, ranking one (Arizona with 18) and two (LA with 24) in earned runs allowed last month. LA has hit the Over just once in Sheehan’s last four starts, while Arizona has done so once in Rodriguez’s last six.
Emmet Sheehan dazzles with his slider, generating a .190 xBA and a 41.3% whiff rate. He should find success against the Diamondbacks, who rank 25th in runs above average (-11.8) against sliders. Eduardo Rogriguez is overvalued: his 2.31 ERA is unsupported by his 4.44 xERA or 89 Stuff+.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
TB (+115)
Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.
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