San Diego @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. This year, Jurickson Profar has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Donovan Solano in today's matchup. Donovan Solano's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.2-mph figure last year has fallen to 86.8-mph. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 17.3% to 12.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 20th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 14.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The #3 field in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage against Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.8-mph in the past week. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.3-mph.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Dylan Cease today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this year (19.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° angle last season.

Luis Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage today.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 17.7% to 12.2%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. In the last 14 days, Jackson Merrill's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%. Using Statcast metrics, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 94th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .289.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Over the last two weeks, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Ha-seong Kim has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.2-mph mark. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side this year. His .225 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 BA is quite a bit lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Luis Campusano will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage today.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today's game. Juan Yepez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days. Juan Yepez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 86.2-mph.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage today. With a 1.33 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed good plate discipline, placing in the 97th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. LaVictor Lipscomb has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. LaVictor Lipscomb has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.1-mph mark. In the last week, LaVictor Lipscomb's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 8.9%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Kyle Higashioka will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 25.6%. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 12.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.