Texas @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the last week. By putting up a .263 BABIP this year, Marcus Semien grades out in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. George Springer's launch angle recently (3.5° over the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 8.2° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 12th percentile, George Springer has put up a .248 BABIP this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Josh Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (31.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.6° seasonal figure. Josh Smith has recorded a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Corey Seager has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.8-mph EV. Compared to last season, Corey Seager has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 20.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst park in the league for righty batting average.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Over the last week, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 20%. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph recently. In the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jonathan Ornelas will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Wyatt Langford will have the upper hand in today's game. Wyatt Langford's launch angle recently (22° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.6° seasonal mark.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Kevin Kiermaier is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph mark.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand today. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Adolis Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .323, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi. In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late. In the past two weeks, Jonah Heim has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Davis Schneider will have the upper hand in today's game. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Davis Schneider will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Over the last week, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph recently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .284 actual wOBA.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. Justin Foscue will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today. Justin Foscue has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the last week's worth of games.

Robbie Grossman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Robbie Grossman will get to bat from his strong side against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. With a 1.36 K/BB rate this year, Robbie Grossman has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Travis Jankowski has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.