San Diego @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill today. As it relates to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's talent is quite bad, sporting a 4.19 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 17th percentile.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest LF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped off to 87.2-mph.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game. Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) implies that Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side this year with his .226 actual batting average. Ha-seong Kim has shown strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 97th percentile with a 1.29 K/BB rate.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer today.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Jurickson Profar has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph EV.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's game.

The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today. Placing in the 86th percentile, Ramon Urias sports a .324 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Jordan Westburg will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today's game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #8 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Kyle Higashioka has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.5% to 25.8%. Over the last 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Cristian Pache has not yet played a game this season.