Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Typically, bats like Juan Soto who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tanner Houck. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Soto in today's game. Juan Soto has been lucky this year, putting up a .435 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .407 — a .028 deviation.