Atlanta @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.3°, Brice Turang has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.1°) over the past 14 days. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (2.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.2° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

Considering Charlie Morton's large platoon split, William Contreras will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. In the past two weeks, William Contreras's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.3%. As it relates to his batting average, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .285 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Joe Ross will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley today. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.2% on the season to 71.4% in the past week. With a .266 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Travis d'Arnaud is ranked in the 75th percentile.

The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°. Adam Duvall's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (35.4° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 21.9° seasonal mark.

The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Bauers in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Morton's large platoon split.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. In the past week's worth of games, Orlando Arcia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Considering Charlie Morton's large platoon split, Sal Frelick will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

The #10 field in the game for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ross in today's matchup.

The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Extreme flyball bats like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #10 park in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.