Seattle @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jason Vosler will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Jason Vosler pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Justin Turner will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner in today's matchup. Justin Turner's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 89.5-mph figure last year has fallen off to 86.8-mph. Justin Turner has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 83.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Randy Arozarena will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena in today's game. Randy Arozarena has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 89.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .335, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup. David Hamilton is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Moore generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Mitch Garver are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in the league for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Mitch Haniger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Mitch Haniger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week's worth of games.