Toronto @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences in the majors. Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%. George Springer has compiled a .254 BABIP this year, ranking in the 15th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough matchup in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 41.8% on the season to 26.3% in the past 14 days. With a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alejandro Kirk grades out in the 16th percentile.

Jordan Westburg is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences in the majors. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game. Jordan Westburg has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 17th percentile with a 4.14 K/BB rate.

This year, Ryan O'Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Over the last week, Ryan O'Hearn's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

Grayson Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Ryan Mountcastle will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Adley Rutschman has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week. In the last 14 days, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 90.8 mph to 80.3 mph.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences in the majors. Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Ernie Clement will have a disadvantage today. Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Ernie Clement has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.7°) in the last two weeks. Ernie Clement has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last 14 days.

Colton Cowser has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest LF fences in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest LF fences today. In the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 0%. Over the past 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95.7 mph to 85.9 mph. Over the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%. Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been lucky given the .030 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Anthony Santander has been lucky this year, notching a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .017 discrepancy. Anthony Santander has recorded a .232 BABIP this year, ranking in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the game for RHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Cedric Mullins II meets a tough challenge today. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the game for RHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and James McCann will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the game for RHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ramon Urias has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 76th percentile with a 2.15 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the game for RHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.