Texas @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Josh Jung is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Jung in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wyatt Langford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.7-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Wyatt Langford's 52.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.9%.

Long-balls are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Michael McGreevy will have the handedness advantage against Adolis Garcia in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adolis Garcia in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest right field dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Josh Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (23.3° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 13° seasonal figure.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today's game. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 86.8-mph.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcus Semien today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the last 14 days. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 14.6% on the season to 37.5% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.3-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand today. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tommy Pham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an edge today. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.9°. Travis Jankowski has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .231 figure is a good deal lower than his .270 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carson Kelly has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Donovan has suffered from bad luck this year. His .316 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Brendan Donovan has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today. Pedro Pages will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Pedro Pages has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 96.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past two weeks, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) suggests that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .277 actual wOBA.