All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 19, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
+116 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -185 
|
|
4.62 |
-129 
|
u8.5 -124 
|
-1.5 +164
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Jobes last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-0 in Burkes last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-130 
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
3.95 |
+112
|
u8.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -150 
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Joey Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
u0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+105
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.53 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5+191
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -197
|
|
3.84 |
-134
|
u8.0 -142
|
-1.5 +172
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0 in Peraltas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+155
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.37 |
-177
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +128
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 on grass.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts on grass.
- are 8-2 in Lopezs last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+100
|
o8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.38 |
-112
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -184
|
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Camerons last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-2 in Chandlers last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Chandlers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-134
|
o9.5 -108
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.89 |
+120
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -135
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Boyds last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Boyds last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lodolos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Lodolos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Lodolos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
o1.5+100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-118
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
3.74 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Quantrills last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+100
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.01 |
-115
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +161
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in Wesneskis last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+208
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+111
|
o8.5 -117
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.26 |
-125
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +172
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Alvarezs last 7 starts as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Millers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Millers last 6 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Colorado
- Under is 3-0-1 in Hughes' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Rockies last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-138
|
o7.0 -135
|
-1.5 +126
|
|
4.32 |
+125
|
u7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -140
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+337)
o0.5+375
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+132
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.31 |
-150
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +141
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Over is 9-0 in Padres last 9 games following a win.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.73 |
+280
|
o6.5 -154
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
4.70 |
-340
|
u7.5 -132
|
-2.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-2 in Giants last 10 games following a loss.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
-108
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
3.80 |
-108
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +180
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Twins last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Detmers' last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Detmers' last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Joe Ryan o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+475)
o5.5-150
DET
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 19 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (+116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Chicago’s hitters are offering little resistance down the stretch, batting .211 with a brutal 28.7% strikeout rate over the last fourteen days. Meanwhile, Detroit’s relief corps has turned into an absolute buzzsaw, dialing up a microscopic 2.01 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 1.84 BB/9.
Jackson Jobe brings lethal stuff to the hill against an unannounced South Side arm, setting up Detroit as an exceptional plus-money look.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. Sean Burke will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today's game.. Typically, batters like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Sean Burke.. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
MIL
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeremiah Jackson u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.. From last season to this one, Jeremiah Jackson's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.9 mph to 92.5 mph.. Jeremiah Jackson's launch angle this year (7.9°) is significantly lower than his 11.7° angle last season.. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Jeremiah Jackson's 31.9° mark (2nd percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Gunnar Henderson today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Gasser's large platoon split.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.. Gunnar Henderson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last two weeks.. Gunnar Henderson has compiled a .261 BABIP this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.
PHI
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Andrew Painter u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-130)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -140. Andrew Painter has been in strong form, posting a 2.93 FIP over the last month while limiting opponents to a 33.7% hard-hit rate. The Mets enter with just an 81 wRC+ over the last week, and Painter has surrendered only one earned run across his last two road starts.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott today.. Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. This season, Bryson Stott has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.6 mph compared to last year's 89.5 mph mark.. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 21.4% over the past two weeks.
BOS
@
TB
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Trevor Story's launch angle lately (27.3° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal angle.. With a .349 BABIP this year, Trevor Story is positioned in the 90th percentile.
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 4th-best pitching conditions on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Freddy Peralta. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman today.. In the last week, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.
ATH
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+136)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's matchup... and moreover, Lopez has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Zack Gelof has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.
KC
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 94.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has had some very poor luck given the .035 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Brandon Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days.. Brandon Lowe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.
CHC
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 21%. Alex Bregman is in excellent form, combining two homers over his last six games with a .550 ISO and plenty of lift. Nick Lodolo has surrendered 2.08 HR/9 across his previous two starts, while Cincinnati’s bullpen has also struggled to suppress power. Bregman is appealing at this price.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Elly De La Cruz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Corey Seager u0.5 Total Hits (+186)
Projection 0.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field projects as the #29 ballpark in the league for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
ATL
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (+102)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Atlanta’s offensive output has evaporated over the last two weeks, slipping to 26th overall with an 84 wRC+ and a meager .291 OBP, while their arms are getting hurt by the long ball (1.74 HR/9).
Houston is generating far more raw power right now (.210 ISO, 105 wRC+). Hayden Wesneski should outduel Grant Holmes in what essentially profiles as a pick’em spot for the Astros.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
WAS
@
STL
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 95°.. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy today.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 95°.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup.
NYY
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+539)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Cody Bellinger’s power has taken off lately, with three homers over his last six games and a .360 ISO. He’s also elevating the ball consistently, while Brandon Pfaadt has allowed plenty of hard contact and 1.72 HR/9 recently. At 15%, Bellinger offers worthwhile upside in Arizona.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to +100. Cody Bellinger is swinging a scorching bat, hitting .440 over his last six games with three homers and a .360 ISO. Brandon Pfaadt has struggled recently, allowing nine earned runs over his last two starts with a 50% hard-hit rate. Bellinger is in a strong spot to keep producing.
MIA
@
SD
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Fernando Tatis Jr. is finally showing the power expected from him, going deep three times over the last week with a .414 ISO. His hard-hit and barrel numbers are climbing, and Eury Perez has struggled badly with home runs lately. Miami’s bullpen gives Tatis another favorable path to a long ball.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 79%.. Heriberto Hernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
MIN
@
LAA
Sat, Sep 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Stadium profiles as the #28 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the same side that Reid Detmers throws from, Kody Clemens will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Kody Clemens has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week.. Kody Clemens's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 94.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.2-mph in the last week.
Strikeouts Thrown
Joe Ryan o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+475)
Projection 7.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Joe Ryan in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the league.. Joe Ryan has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.. The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oswald Peraza, Jose Siri, Josh Lowe, Mike Trout, Zach Neto).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 4th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Joe Ryan was in good form in his last outing and posted 7 strikeouts.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
