Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 field in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. Marcus Stroman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. In today's game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile). Typically, batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Marcus Stroman.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 field in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Aaron Judge will have a disadvantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aaron Judge's true offensive talent to be a .424, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .043 difference between that mark and his actual .467 wOBA.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 field in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. Marcus Stroman will hold the platoon advantage over George Springer in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer in today's matchup.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Benjamin Rice's 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.7%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Addison Barger has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball bats like Davis Schneider tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Joey Loperfido is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ernie Clement has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 85.9-mph EV. Ernie Clement has compiled a .269 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last season's 95.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Austin Wells is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today. Austin Wells will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Anthony Volpe has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Anthony Volpe is in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .268.