Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

Sam Hilliard hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Ryan McMahon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 46.1% to 52.4%.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park ranks as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

The #7 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has lowered to 4.3% this year.

The #7 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Tanner Gordon will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an edge in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 95.4-mph over the last week.

Petco Park ranks as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph average last year has lowered to 87.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jurickson Profar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42% to 47.5%. In notching a .368 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jurickson Profar finds himself in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249. Posting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 97th percentile.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. Hunter Goodman has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .173 rate is quite a bit lower than his .214 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Hunter Goodman's 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Jacob Stallings will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez today. Jacob Stallings's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.1°) is significantly higher than his 11.1° mark last year. By putting up a 2.09 K/BB rate this year, Jacob Stallings has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge in today's matchup.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Xander Bogaerts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 93.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Gordon today. Jake Cronenworth is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game since none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness.

Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Kris Bryant will have the upper hand today. Kris Bryant hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Kris Bryant's launch angle this season (20.6°) is considerably higher than his 14.2° figure last season. Over the past two weeks, Kris Bryant's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Over the last week, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 30.8%. This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.8 mph compared to last year's 91 mph mark. Over the past 7 days, Michael Toglia's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge in today's game. In the past week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 22.2%. Brenton Doyle has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Kyle Higashioka has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.5% to 26.7% this season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's 72.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Gordon in today's matchup. David Peralta is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game as none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. David Peralta has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89-mph.