San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Logan Webb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Juan Yepez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Juan Yepez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%. Juan Yepez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 84-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 81.1-mph over the last 14 days.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Matt Chapman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°.

13% of the time that Tyler Fitzgerald has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Fitzgerald's true offensive ability to be a .300, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .119 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .419 wOBA.

28% of the time that Casey Schmitt has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Casey Schmitt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Casey Schmitt's footspeed has dropped off this season. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.08 ft/sec now.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Mark Canha will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.9-mph over the last 14 days. From last season to this one, Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.4% to 10.9%.

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 field in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme groundball hitters like Luis Garcia generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .314, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA.

CJ Abrams's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Marco Luciano will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Marco Luciano has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Jerar Encarnacion will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Jerar Encarnacion has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Logan Webb in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.5-mph in the past 7 days.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Patrick Bailey is in the 79th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .269.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Travis Blankenhorn will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph of late.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. LaVictor Lipscomb has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. LaVictor Lipscomb will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.