Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers.
T-Mobile Park
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers.
Jake Rogers pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Rogers has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 96.9-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Rogers's true offensive skill to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .034 gap between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.
Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Parker Meadows will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Parker Meadows stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Parker Meadows pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .196 BA is quite a bit lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Parker Meadows's 10% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.
Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Justyn-Henry Malloy has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 26.3°. Justyn-Henry Malloy has been hot in recent games, notching a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the past 7 days.
Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Wenceel Perez's 17.3° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 84th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Javier Baez pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Javier Baez has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks. Javier Baez has been unlucky this year, notching a .213 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .080 deviation.
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Josh Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last season, Josh Rojas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 19.7% this season.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Gio Urshela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Gio Urshela has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph mark. Over the past 14 days, Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 92.6-mph recently. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) suggests that Gio Urshela has had some very poor luck this year with his .240 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Justin Turner's launch angle lately (28.4° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably higher than his 16.7° seasonal angle.
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Haniger has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the last two weeks. Mitch Haniger has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 92.7-mph in the past two weeks.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.224) provides evidence that Dylan Moore has had some very poor luck this year with his .207 actual batting average.
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In comparison to his 89.6-mph average last year, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.2 mph.
Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Victor Robles has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.8° angle in the last 7 days.
Colt Keith's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Colt Keith is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Colt Keith has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Zach McKinstry's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (23.5°) is a considerable increase over his 13.6° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zach McKinstry's true offensive talent to be a .304, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .066 gap between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.
Bligh Madris is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Bligh Madris will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Bligh Madris has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Bligh Madris has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Bligh Madris has displayed impressive power, recording a a 22.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).