Minnesota @ Chicago Picks & Props
MIN vs CHC Picks
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MIN vs CHC Consensus Picks
More Consensus76% picking Minnesota vs Chi. Cubs to go Over
Total PicksMIN 316, CHC 99
MIN vs CHC Props
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Pablo Lopez. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Michael Busch is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 49.1%.
Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.308) provides evidence that Brooks Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .279 actual wOBA.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.281) provides evidence that Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side this year with his .254 actual batting average.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Sporting a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Austin Martin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Austin Martin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Martin has had some very poor luck this year. His .238 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279. In terms of plate discipline, Austin Martin's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an edge today. Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan Jeffers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Ryan Jeffers has posted a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (45.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Manuel Margot will have an edge in today's game.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Royce Lewis pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Miranda is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Jose Miranda will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga today. Jose Miranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Among all parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 9th-worst out of every team today. Miguel Amaya will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Miguel Amaya has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Byron Buxton will have an edge today. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Christian Vazquez will have the upper hand in today's game. Christian Vazquez's launch angle this season (17.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.6° figure last season. Over the last 14 days, Christian Vazquez's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%. In terms of his batting average, Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .211 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.
MIN vs CHC Trends
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+10.80 Units / 8% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 52% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 57 away games (-17.55 Units / -25% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 51 games (-17.25 Units / -31% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.60 Units / -61% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 103 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 86 games (-28.95 Units / -25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 105 games (-22.95 Units / -20% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-19.15 Units / -35% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 49 games at home (-17.90 Units / -31% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.40 Units / -28% ROI)
MIN vs CHC Top User Picks
More PicksMinnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||