Cincinnati @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Ali Sanchez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

13% of the time that Otto Lopez has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Otto Lopez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Otto Lopez has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jonathan India has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 88.6-mph. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 25% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jonah Bride will have an edge in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jonah Bride with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the past 7 days, Santiago Espinal's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.5% up to 7.7%. Santiago Espinal's launch angle in recent games (28.3° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13.9° seasonal figure.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Compared to his seasonal angle of 16.4°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (11.8°) over the last two weeks. In terms of plate discipline, Spencer Steer's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 2.07 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 75th percentile.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Cristian Pache generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Cristian Pache will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler Stephenson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 96.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.4°, Tyler Stephenson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28° angle in the past week.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Valente Bellozo in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Elly De La Cruz's launch angle from last season's 3.4° to 10.4° this season.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jeimer Candelario has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 92-mph. Over the last week, Jeimer Candelario's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.2%.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 115.6 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. T.J. Friedl's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 18.6% to 22.8%.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. In today's game, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (85th percentile). Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 86.2-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.1-mph in the past week. Xavier Edwards has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the past 14 days.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jake Fraley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph of late. In the past two weeks, Jake Fraley's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Emmanuel Rivera will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) may lead us to conclude that Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance this year with his .267 actual wOBA.

David Hensley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.