MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 9, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Apr 9 • 12:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Will Benson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Will Benson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 61% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Will Benson logo
Will Benson u0.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Will Benson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Will Benson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 61% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
View 7 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Apr 9 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks
Spread
Athletics Athletics logo ATH +1.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

 I am not high on Ryan Weathers, and I don’t think the Yankees are either, which is why it's more of a stopgap while the rest of the rotation gets healthy rather than an everyday guy. The pitch-to-contact guy who doesn’t get groundballs (bottom 40 percentile career) and historically bottom 30 percentile chase rate is one that a viable A's lineup can have success against.

Total
Athletics Athletics logo New York Yankees logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

The Yankees have five hitters with .375 or higher xwOBA against Springs in 20+ plate appearances, and his low-velocity fastball against a lineup that posted a 114 wRC+ vs LHP last season is a matchup where he probably manages things but gives up runs. Both pitchers will give up something here. I made this total exactly 9.

View 9 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Apr 9 • 1:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 5 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Minnesota Twins logo o8.5 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This matchup has gone Over in six of the last 10 head-to-heads. Detroit's lineup has genuine pop, and Minnesota has averaged over six runs per game in its last three home games against these Tigers.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Once both starters exit, the Minnesota Twins bullpen is walking hitters at a nearly 15% rate. Detroit's relief corps is meaningfully better across every underlying metric. Trust Flaherty and the Tigers' bullpen edge. 

View 8 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Apr 9 • 7:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 46°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Adrian Del Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Nolan McLean logo
Nolan McLean u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
Projection 5.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.4% underlying K%.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 46°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean in this game.. With a 1.76 difference between Nolan McLean's 10.65 K/9 and his 8.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see negative regression going forward.
View 5 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Apr 9 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago White Sox logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a big number for a Kansas City Royals squad that has been one of the best Under teams in the league at 4-8 O/U. The offense is coming off a three-game set in Cleveland, where it managed just seven runs and cashed the Under in each game. The Chicago White Sox now face Seth Lugo, who has allowed just three total runs through two starts. The wind is blowing out, which is inflating this total, but it feels like an overreaction given that both teams have recently been lined closer to 7.5.

Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today.
View 11 Picks

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