Baltimore @ Tampa Bay props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 4th-shallowest. Jackson Holliday has been hot lately, notching a a 30% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the last 14 days, Jackson Holliday has averaged an impressive 102.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Jose Siri will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jose Siri has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 90.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Colton Cowser has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Posting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 86th percentile for hitting ability. Colton Cowser's 14.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 93rd percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Ryan O'Hearn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Ryan O'Hearn's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. Batting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Slater will have a tough matchup in today's game. Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to last year, Austin Slater has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.2% to 56.6% this season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.307) provides evidence that Austin Slater has suffered from bad luck this year with his .273 actual wOBA.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Gunnar Henderson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 45.1% on the season to 55.3% over the past 14 days. Sporting a .381 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Gunnar Henderson grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive ability.

Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, putting up a .289 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .026 disparity.

Batting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Ramon Urias has a tough challenge in today's game. Ramon Urias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Ramon Urias's skill is quite good, sporting a 2.2 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen In the last two weeks, Adley Rutschman's 55.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

Dylan Carlson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 4th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.3°. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 9.4% on the season to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Ben Rortvedt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an advantage in today's game. Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Anthony Santander's launch angle from last season's 20° to 23.8° this year. Anthony Santander's launch angle in recent games (27° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 23.8° seasonal figure. Posting a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Alex Jackson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Jackson's true offensive ability to be a .279, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .094 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .185 wOBA. Alex Jackson's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a disadvantage in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. By putting up a .269 batting average this year, Ryan Mountcastle has performed in the 78th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Lowe has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10.7% rate last year to 16% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today. In the last 14 days, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 104.3-mph recently.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph recently. Over the past 14 days, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 29° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.5°. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 45.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Curtis Mead has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Curtis Mead has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .269 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 85th percentile, Curtis Mead has posted a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 4th-shallowest. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.8% up to 16.7%. Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year, posting a .234 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .282 — a .048 difference.

When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Yandy Diaz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 95.1-mph in the past week.