St. Louis @ Kansas City Picks & Props

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17.7% seasonal rate to 30% in the last 7 days.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams in action today. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.7-mph in the past two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Masyn Winn will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.7-mph average last year has dropped to 87.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.7°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.4°) over the last 14 days.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%. Salvador Perez has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .280 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Maikel Garcia who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Andre Pallante. With a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the slate. Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89.1-mph over the last 7 days. Over the past two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences today. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (14.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 19.6° figure last year. Michael Massey has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is considerably higher than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Hitting the ball to all fields is a core ability for batting average that Michael Massey has struggled with this year, as evidenced by his placing in the 0th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Victor Scott's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 12.5%. Victor Scott has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.1-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.3-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Tommy Pham's launch angle this year (11.2°) is significantly higher than his 5.4° angle last season.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Brandon Crawford has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .191 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. Hunter Renfroe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Paul DeJong tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nolan Arenado has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph to 89.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.