Final Sep 16
MIN 3 -117 o7.0
CLE 4 +108 u7.0
Final (10) Sep 16
WAS 1 +182 o7.5
NYM 2 -200 u7.5
Final Sep 16
LAD 9 -131 o8.0
ATL 0 +121 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PHI 2 -106 o8.0
MIL 6 -102 u8.0
Final Sep 16
DET 7 +116 o8.0
KC 6 -125 u8.0
Final Sep 16
OAK 2 +180 o8.0
CHC 9 -197 u8.0
Final Sep 16
PIT 0 -124 o7.0
STL 4 +115 u7.0
Final Sep 16
AZ 2 -172 o11.0
COL 3 +158 u11.0
Final Sep 16
CHW 8 +171 o8.0
LAA 4 -188 u8.0
Final Sep 16
HOU 1 +106 o7.5
SD 3 -115 u7.5
SNLA, SNP

Pittsburgh @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael A. Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Michael A. Taylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 28.6%. Michael A. Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 13.2% on the season to 28.6% over the last week. Compared to last year, Michael A. Taylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.9% to 47.3% this season.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael A. Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Michael A. Taylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 28.6%. Michael A. Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 13.2% on the season to 28.6% over the last week. Compared to last year, Michael A. Taylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.9% to 47.3% this season.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Ahmed hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Ahmed will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Ahmed has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph. Nick Ahmed's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.7° mark last year.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Ahmed hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Ahmed will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Ahmed has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph. Nick Ahmed's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.7° mark last year.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against River Ryan in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against River Ryan in today's matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryan De La Cruz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .024 discrepancy.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryan De La Cruz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .024 discrepancy.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Bart has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 14 days. Joey Bart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 97.2-mph.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Bart has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 14 days. Joey Bart has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 97.2-mph.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that River Ryan throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that River Ryan throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's matchup.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against River Ryan.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against River Ryan.

Will Smith Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

W. Smith
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Will Smith is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Will Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Will Smith is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 11.8% this year.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 11.8% this year.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand today.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past 14 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded a .334 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past 14 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.5-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded a .334 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Pages
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Andy Pages will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andy Pages has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .296 figure is quite a bit lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Andy Pages ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

Andy Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Andy Pages will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Andy Pages has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .296 figure is quite a bit lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Andy Pages ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

G. Lux
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand today. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.2-mph now compared to just 87.8-mph then. Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, notching a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .026 gap.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.2-mph now compared to just 87.8-mph then. Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, notching a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .026 gap.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive skill to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 deviation between that mark and his actual .267 wOBA.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive skill to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 deviation between that mark and his actual .267 wOBA.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yasmani Grandal has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph mark. In the past week's worth of games, Yasmani Grandal's 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.2%. Yasmani Grandal has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .191 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yasmani Grandal has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph mark. In the past week's worth of games, Yasmani Grandal's 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.2%. Yasmani Grandal has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .191 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .219 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Jason Heyward is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jason Heyward's skill is quite good, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jason Heyward is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jason Heyward's skill is quite good, putting up a 2.04 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph average.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph average.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage today. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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