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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 1, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.97 |
-130 
|
o9.5 +100
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.88 |
+125 
|
u9.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -130
|
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Vasquezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+147 
|
o6.0 -235
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.73 |
-155
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+163
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.91 |
-170
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +125
|
Toronto
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 on grass.
Cleveland
- Over is 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-0 in Williams' last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+117
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.52 |
-124 
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +180
|
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.76 |
-167
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
4.75 |
+160
|
u10.0 -110
|
+1.5 -105
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Irvins last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+111
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.59 |
-119
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+196
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.78 |
+106
|
o9.5 -114
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.36 |
-114
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 14-3 in Marlins last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+103
|
o8.0 -143
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
4.66 |
+105
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +190
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts overall.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-2 in Prielipps last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Prielipps last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Colt Keith o0.5 Total RBIs (+575)
o0.5+575
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.97 |
+116
|
o9.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
5.01 |
-124
|
u10.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 7-0 in Gassers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Boyds last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 home starts.
Top Projection
Miguel Amaya u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.21 |
+185
|
o7.0 -143
|
+3.5 -360
|
|
4.26 |
-185
|
u7.5 -115
|
-3.5 +270
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+294)
o0.5+294
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-104
|
o8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +162
|
|
4.48 |
+100 
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
u1.5-170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.48 |
-140
|
o11.0 -115
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.57 |
+135
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
-180
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.69 |
+170
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -110
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
-128
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.04 |
+120
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Luzardos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5+193
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+162
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.31 |
-168
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Bradfords last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 6-0 in Painters last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Painters last 7 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandovals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts overall.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cantillos last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-0 in Cantillos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Roupps last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.62 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 on grass.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts overall.
SD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+313)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Nick Lodolo is a perfect dinger target today. He's allowed six homers across 16+ innings since returning from the IL as he adjusts to a new curveball grip because of a recurring blister issue. His 3.31 HR/9 in August is the fifth-worst mark among starters for the month, and his 8.29 xERA might be a sign that he hasn't simply been unlucky of late. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the best right-handed hitter in this San Diego lineup and gets the advantage of a great HR park with temperatures reaching 91 degrees today. The Padres outfielder has a .961 OPS against lefties, while his .588 slugging percentage against them ranks among the Top 10 marks in baseball this year. I'll play this to 27% tonight and think the Padres can stack some runs in a great setting against a pitcher struggling to find his game after the blister issue.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 92°.. Tyler Stephenson has big-time HR ability (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vásquez struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.
SF
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.22
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Davis's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .052 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.
Total Home Runs
Henry Davis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1500)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Henry Davis ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Henry Davis's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .052 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.
TOR
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
George Springer o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Not only has George Springer cashed this play in four straight games, but he's also one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, carrying a .858 OPS in August into the new month.
Since the All-Star break, Springer is slashing .323/.381/.511 and enters today with a plus matchup against Cleveland Guardians starter Gavin Williams. Across nine at-bats, Springer has recorded four hits and a double, and is rocking a .433 wOBA. He simply can do no wrong at the plate right now; let's ride the wave and cash another.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Among all stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Jo Adell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
NYM
@
TB
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 18%.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90-mph EV.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brett Baty's true offensive skill to be a .301, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .020 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA.
ATL
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 20% this season.
SEA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 25%.
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Woo's large platoon split.. Over the last week, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.. With a .266 BABIP this year, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 19th percentile.
MIA
@
KC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-118)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Kansas City has won eight of its last 10, and I’ll back that momentum behind Randy Dobnak. The right-hander owns a 1.92 ERA through 51 2/3 innings and has been one of baseball’s most effective starters since early July. At essentially a pick’em price at home, KC gets my money.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
DET
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Kody Clemens has a strong power case after homering Monday and posting a 60% hard-hit rate, 13.3% barrel rate, and 66.7% fly-ball rate over the last week. Melton’s long-ball issues and Detroit’s bullpen air-contact profile give him multiple paths to another blast.
Total
u8.5 (+101)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because Detroit is offering almost no run support, scoring just nine runs over its last six games. Minnesota’s bullpen is limiting damage, and Detroit’s relief corps has avoided major homer trouble lately, forcing the Twins to carry most of the Over burden.
MIL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Chourio is heating up at the dish with three homers during his active five-game hitting streak, and he sports a rock-solid .198 ISO against lefties. This should also prove to be a favorable matchup with Chicago southpaw Matthew Boyd allowing 14 of his 15 long flies to right-handed hitters alongside a .196 ISO.
Total
o10.5 (+110)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Both Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser (4.52 xERA on the road), and Chicago veteran Matthew Boyd (5.50 xERA at home) have a tall task ahead tonight. The weather forecast calls for ideal hitting conditions, and the Cubs pace the majors in xwOBA while averaging 7.5 runs per game over the past two weeks, while the Brewers check in ranking third with 6.0 runs per game.
ATH
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jake Burger has piled up five extra base hits over his last seven games, and has hit for plenty of power dating back further.
He leads the Texas Rangers with a .341 ISO and 18.8% barrel rate over the last 20 games, and should get plenty of pitches to hit against a struggling Athletics bullpen.
Total
o7.5 (+101)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Texas Rangers have played 28 home games against below .500 teams who were starting, or opening with, a pitcher whose ERA sits above 4.0. They’ve gone 19-8-1 to the Over.
With Athletics relievers bleeding baserunners, the Rangers should have plenty of traffic on the basepaths throughout and are in a good spot to do the heavy lifting.
Play to 52%.
CHW
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This might not be the only White Sox batter on my home run card. Ronel Blanco is back in the Big Leagues, and among pitchers with at least 20 innings this season, he owns the fifth-worst HR/9 at 2.7 and the 11th-worst HR/FB rate at 23.3%. He also gave up 10 runs and three dingers in his last Triple-A start. He's in perfect dinger form. I'm skipping Tristan Peters because of the pinch-hit risk and Munetaka Murakami because of his recent form, and taking Colson Montgomery at a price well above three dollars. He sits one homer shy of 30 and went deep last night against the Houston bullpen, which is also missing four arms today. Montgomery's power numbers over the last two weeks rank behind only Peters, who has been on a mission. Ultimately, getting a 30-homer guy in the best home run matchup on the board at this price is value town. I have the fair probability around 24-25%.
Moneyline
CHW (-116)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
There's a lot to unpack here, and a lot of it comes down to having no interest in the Astros today. First, the starting pitching matchup is much further apart than this line suggests. Ronel Blanco is not an MLB-caliber starter and just gave up 10 runs while recording only seven outs in his last Triple-A start. He currently owns the fourth-worst ERA in baseball among pitchers with at least 20 innings, along with the fifth-worst HR/9. Making matters worse for Blanco, the Houston bullpen is taxed. The Astros are down four arms today, including high-leverage relievers Bryan Abreu and Steven Okert. The White Sox, meanwhile, had a Top-7 bullpen last month and have all but one arm available. Finally, per Kevin Roth, a tropical storm is heading toward Houston today. I would think that situation could weigh more heavily on the home team, with roots and families in the area, than the visiting club. I have Chicago as a 57% favorite today.
BAL
@
COL
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 14.3%.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-140)
Projection 2.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game.
NYY
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Mike Trout has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week.
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Zach Neto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Zach Neto has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.
PHI
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-102)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
We have a pair of aces coming off their best starts of the season against two offenses in the bottom 12 for wRC+. Smells like an Under to me. While Jesus Luzardo is coming off a seven-inning shutout, Eduardo Rodriguez has thrown 12 2/3 straight scoreless innings. Both thrive in this specific matchup, too, with Luzardo limiting this DBacks offense to a .293 xwOBA, and the Phillies owning just a .230 xBA against Rodriguez. Worried about Kyle Schwarber here? He's hitless in eight at-bats against Rodriguez, striking out four times. Don't overthink this one.
Moneyline
AZ (+119)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Jesús Luzardo is one of the toughest starting pitchers in the National League, and he features a nasty sweeper that carries a +20 run value and a 47.9% whiff rate this season. That being said, Luzardo's sweeper is an absolute weapon against left-handed hitters, but it loses some of its effectiveness against right-handed bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to feature a lineup with Corbin Carroll as their only left-handed hitter, limiting the impact of Luzardo's best weapon. On the other side, the Phillies' two most dangerous hitters, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, don't have an advantageous matchup either. They'll face lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who can fade his changeup away from the barrels of their bats. The Diamondbacks are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 49% underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
STL
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 1 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither lineup is in great shape, with Los Angeles posting an 88 wRC+ and .084 ISO over the last week. St. Louis’ bullpen has been excellent lately, and the Dodgers’ relief corps is stable enough behind Lauer.
Moneyline
LAD (-168)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Los Angeles has the cleaner full-game profile despite Eric Lauer’s recent volatility. Michael McGreevy is struggling with command and homer issues, while the Cardinals carry a 77 wRC+ lately. The Dodgers’ offense is not firing, but its home profile gives it enough edge tonight.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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