San Diego @ Miami Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck this year. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.31 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. The 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 40.2% to 45.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Derek Hill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Derek Hill's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph in recent games. Derek Hill is very quick, ranking in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.39 ft/sec this year.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team in action today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. The 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Jonah Bride's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 2.18 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Burger has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 21.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .247 rate is quite a bit lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. Kyle Higashioka's launch angle lately (29.1° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.4° seasonal figure. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 26.4%. Placing in the 81st percentile, Kyle Higashioka sports a .336 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Roddery Munoz in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year, Xavier Edwards has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side against Matt Waldron today. Vidal Brujan will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Vidal Brujan's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jurickson Profar has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph mark. Compared to last season, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 47.6% this season.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Matt Waldron in today's game. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB BABIP. The 4th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jhonny Pereda will hold that advantage in today's game.

Emmanuel Rivera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Donovan Solano has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.