Atlanta @ Colorado Picks & Props

The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dakota Hudson will have the handedness advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, posting a .402 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .053 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Whit Merrifield's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 42.1% on the season to 60% over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) may lead us to conclude that Whit Merrifield has had bad variance on his side this year with his .209 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Austin Riley will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Michael Toglia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.2-mph average to last season's 91-mph average. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 20% on the season to 26.1% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dakota Hudson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia today. Typically, bats like Orlando Arcia who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dakota Hudson. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Orlando Arcia is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Colorado (#1-best on the slate today).

Travis d'Arnaud is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have a disadvantage in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Travis d'Arnaud in today's matchup.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Ramon Laureano has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88-mph mark. Ramon Laureano's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (17.3°) is a considerable increase over his 13.3° angle last year. Ramon Laureano has been unlucky this year, compiling a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .040 deviation.

Kris Bryant is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Kris Bryant will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kris Bryant will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #1 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Dakota Hudson throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand today. Jarred Kelenic is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Hunter Goodman will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .174 rate is considerably lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sean Murphy is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Dakota Hudson will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Murphy in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.9% rate last season has dropped to 9.9% this year.

Dakota Hudson will hold the platoon advantage against Jorge Soler today. Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Soler in today's game. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 19.6% to 15.8%. In the last week's worth of games, Jorge Soler's 14.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Matt Olson's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 93.7-mph figure last year has dropped off to 91.5-mph. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 12.7% on the season to 0% over the last week. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Matt Olson has put up a .225 batting average this year.

Typically, hitters like Brendan Rodgers who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Fried. Brendan Rodgers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has decreased to 4.8% this year. Brendan Rodgers's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (4°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.1° angle last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) implies that Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year with his .317 actual wOBA. When it comes to plate discipline, Brendan Rodgers's skill is quite bad, sporting a 3.84 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.

Charlie Blackmon has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.