Houston @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena today. Jeremy Pena's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.1-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 12.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days. Over the last two weeks, Jeremy Pena has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.2%. In the last 7 days, Yainer Diaz's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's game. Jose Altuve has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last week. Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.9-mph mark last season has fallen to 90.4-mph.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.6°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.3°) in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Nick Sogard will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (12.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 15.8° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #5 park in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Chas McCormick will have an edge in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in MLB for LHB batting average. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Brown today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Pedro Leon will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mauricio Dubon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today.

Enmanuel Valdez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 field in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.