Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been lucky given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.