Final Jul 12
CHC 5 +132 o8.0
NYY 2 -144 u8.0
Final Jul 12
SEA 15 -112 o8.0
DET 7 +103 u8.0
Final Jul 12
PIT 4 +124 o9.5
MIN 12 -135 u9.5
Final Jul 12
ATL 7 -111 o9.0
STL 6 +103 u9.0
Final Jul 12
MIA 6 +143 o9.0
BAL 0 -156 u9.0
Final Jul 12
LAD 2 -148 o8.5
SF 1 +137 u8.5
Final Jul 12
COL 3 +242 o10.0
CIN 4 -272 u10.0
Final Jul 12
TB 0 +148 o8.0
BOS 1 -161 u8.0
Final Jul 12
NYM 3 -118 o9.0
KC 1 +109 u9.0
Final Jul 12
CLE 6 -125 o8.5
CHW 2 +116 u8.5
Final Jul 12
WAS 5 +237 o9.0
MIL 6 -265 u9.0
Final (11) Jul 12
TEX 4 -100 o6.5
HOU 5 -108 u6.5
Final Jul 12
PHI 4 -162 o7.0
SD 5 +149 u7.0
Final Jul 12
AZ 5 +111 o9.0
LAA 10 -120 u9.0
Final Jul 12
TOR 3 -138 o10.5
ATH 4 +127 u10.5
ESPN

Texas @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been lucky given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been lucky given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh H. Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21.1% to 15.7%.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Marcus Semien will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21.1% to 15.7%.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage today. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

Leody Taveras
L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

David Hamilton
D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Adolis García Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis García
A. García
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Adolis García

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nick Sogard's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 68.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nick Sogard's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 68.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 12th-worst infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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