Miami @ Philadelphia props

The #5 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

The #5 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side (0) today against Taijuan Walker Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Valente Bellozo will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Derek Hill has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 93.4-mph. Derek Hill is quite fast, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.43 ft/sec this year.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck this year. His .231 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today's game.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Jonah Bride has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 2.15 K/BB rate.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryce Harper may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez's true offensive skill to be a .298, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .045 gap between that figure and his actual .253 wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Extreme groundball bats like Johan Rojas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Johan Rojas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 88.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 85.6-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Jake Burger has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.7% to 24.2%.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15% to 18.5%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Taijuan Walker. Vidal Brujan has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Vidal Brujan has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 1.9% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games. Vidal Brujan's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (48.7° in the last 7 days) is a significant increase over his 7.2° seasonal figure.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The standard deviation of J.T. Realmuto's launch angle has been very consistent of late (34.4° in the past week's worth of games), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.