Final Sep 10
COL 0 +178 o8.5
DET 11 -195 u8.5
Final Sep 10
TB 4 +161 o7.5
PHI 9 -176 u7.5
Final Sep 10
MIA 4 +143 o9.0
PIT 6 -156 u9.0
Final Sep 10
ATL 12 -134 o7.5
WAS 0 +124 u7.5
Final Sep 10
KC 5 +126 o8.5
NYY 0 -136 u8.5
Final Sep 10
NYM 2 -123 o8.0
TOR 6 +114 u8.0
Final Sep 10
BAL 5 +122 o9.5
BOS 3 -133 u9.5
Final Sep 10
CLE 5 -219 o8.0
CHW 0 +198 u8.0
Final Sep 10
LAA 5 +232 o8.0
MIN 10 -259 u8.0
Final Sep 10
CIN 3 +117 o8.5
STL 0 -127 u8.5
Final (12) Sep 10
OAK 4 +176 o8.5
HOU 3 -193 u8.5
Final Sep 10
SD 7 +112 o7.0
SEA 3 -121 u7.0
Final Sep 10
TEX 0 +155 o8.0
AZ 6 -170 u8.0
Final Sep 10
MIL 3 -110 o7.5
SF 2 +102 u7.5
Final Sep 10
CHC 6 +131 o8.0
LAD 3 -142 u8.0
NBCSCA, SNY

Oakland @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Joey Estes Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks. In the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Joey Estes Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past two weeks. In the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

Zack Gelof Total Hits Props • Oakland

Z. Gelof
second base 2B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Zack Gelof will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Zack Gelof

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Zack Gelof will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Lawrence Butler Total Hits Props • Oakland

L. Butler
right outfield RF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lawrence Butler stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Lawrence Butler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lawrence Butler stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Oakland Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Oakland Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Shea Langeliers Total Hits Props • Oakland

S. Langeliers
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Shea Langeliers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Shea Langeliers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Shea Langeliers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Estes throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Estes throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Martinez
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.D. Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brent Rooker Total Hits Props • Oakland

B. Rooker
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's game. Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brent Rooker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brent Rooker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's game. Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Miguel Andujar Total Hits Props • Oakland

M. Andujar
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Miguel Andujar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

Miguel Andujar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Miguel Andujar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.

Daz Cameron Total Hits Props • Oakland

D. Cameron
right outfield RF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Daz Cameron is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Daz Cameron will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daz Cameron hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Daz Cameron

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Daz Cameron is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Daz Cameron will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daz Cameron hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Mark Vientos has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.7% last year to 15.8% this season.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Mark Vientos has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.7% last year to 15.8% this season.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Joey Estes in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Joey Estes in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

JJ Bleday Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Bleday
center outfield CF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. J.J. Bleday is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. J.J. Bleday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like J.J. Bleday generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

JJ Bleday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

J.J. Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. J.J. Bleday is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. J.J. Bleday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like J.J. Bleday generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Tyler Nevin Total Hits Props • Oakland

T. Nevin
right outfield RF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Tyler Nevin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Tyler Nevin's speed has gotten better this year. His 25.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.34 ft/sec now.

Tyler Nevin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Tyler Nevin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Tyler Nevin's speed has gotten better this year. His 25.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.34 ft/sec now.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Winker
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Estes today. Jesse Winker has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Estes today. Jesse Winker has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's launch angle of late (42° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 7.3° seasonal figure. Posting a .341 BABIP this year, Francisco Alvarez is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's launch angle of late (42° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 7.3° seasonal figure. Posting a .341 BABIP this year, Francisco Alvarez is ranked in the 87th percentile.

Ben Gamel Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Gamel
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Estes today. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Ben Gamel will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ben Gamel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Estes today. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Ben Gamel will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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