Texas @ Boston props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Marcus Semien's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph in recent games. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (15.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 18.7° mark last season.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Among every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 14.1% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .362 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split. Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Posting a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Smith is positioned in the 79th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Over the last 7 days, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph of late. Wyatt Langford has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Gerson Garabito throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Gerson Garabito today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Nathaniel Lowe will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Leody Taveras's 72.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has experienced some negative variance this year. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerson Garabito in today's matchup. David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. David Hamilton has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days.

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Gerson Garabito throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge today. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph EV.

Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carson Kelly hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Carson Kelly has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. Carson Kelly's launch angle recently (21° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 12.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In the past week's worth of games, Adolis Garcia's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Josh Jung is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Josh Jung's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.4%. Josh Jung has notched a .264 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Gerson Garabito in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #6 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Travis Jankowski will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Travis Jankowski has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Travis Jankowski has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .225 mark is a fair amount lower than his .271 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #6 park in Major League Baseball for righty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (23.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.5° angle last season.