Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Derek Hill has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.4-mph. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.54 ft/sec this year, Derek Hill is quite athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 108.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) implies that Emmanuel Rivera has had bad variance on his side this year with his .216 actual batting average.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Edmundo Sosa is quite athletic, placing in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.43 ft/sec this year.

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Tyler Phillips Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards today. Xavier Edwards has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 85-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips today. Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game. Bryce Harper may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 82°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his strong side against Tyler Phillips in this game. Vidal Brujan has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Vidal Brujan's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 10%. Vidal Brujan has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 87.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85-mph mark.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's game.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jonah Bride has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.9% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.7-mph over the course of the season to 88.7-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 5.5°, Johan Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 9° angle in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .253 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.