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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 11, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+166 
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.80 |
-186 
|
u8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+160
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -132
|
|
4.81 |
-185 
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +122
|
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Colt Keith u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
u0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
+132
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.49 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +143
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kikuchis last 4 starts as an underdog.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+120
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.02 |
-134
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-2 in McLeans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+108
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.60 |
-125
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +165
|
Baltimore
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Bassitts last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 road starts.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Scherzers last 4 starts on astroturf.
Top Projection
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+146
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -149
|
|
4.60 |
-170
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 9-0 in Rasmussens last 9 starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Top Projection
Miguel Ullola o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o1.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
-209
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.15 |
+180
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 +100
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Gustos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
+176
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.26 |
-195
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +112
|
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1 in Grays last 8 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+160
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -138
|
|
4.94 |
-190
|
u7.5 -108
|
-1.5 +120
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 5-0 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 road starts.
- Under is 7-1-2 in Nolas last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Sales last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+160
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.53 |
-180
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +120
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 8-1 in Harrisons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Harrisons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Harrisons last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
-120
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.10 |
+105
|
u7.5 -102
|
+1.5 -164
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
-110
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.92 |
-104
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Kays last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts a home underdog.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+112
|
o8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.00 |
-130
|
u9.5 -132
|
-1.5 +165
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o1.5 Total RBIs (+550)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.72 |
-165
|
o9.5 -128
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.15 |
+145
|
u10.5 -120
|
+1.5 -110
|
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Kirbys last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 road starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Kirbys last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Springs' last 7 home starts.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
o0.5+600
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
-145
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.87 |
+130
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -135
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 starts on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+169
PIT
@
CHC
Fri, Sep 11 • 2:20 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 20%.. Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph EV.
COL
@
DET
Fri, Sep 11 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Mason Adams throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as Major League Baseball's 12th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.
LAA
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 11 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls.. Hitters such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cade Cavalli who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for long-balls.. Hitters such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cade Cavalli who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
NYM
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage today.. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 21.2% in the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has experienced some negative variance given the .034 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's matchup.. Cody Bellinger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.
BAL
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. Pete Alonso has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.. Over the last week, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph of late.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.. In the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 18.2%.
HOU
@
TB
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. Typically, bats like Cedric Mullins who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Miguel Ullola.. In the past 14 days, Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.4 mph to 87.3 mph.. Over the past 7 days, Cedric Mullins's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams playing today.. Over the last two weeks, Yordan Alvarez's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.2%.
LAD
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Ryan Gusto o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 4.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Ryan Gusto will hold that advantage today.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ryan Gusto has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 11.1% more often this year (59.4%) than he did last year (48.3%).. Ryan Gusto's 2404-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Otto Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.
KC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+112)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Sonny Gray gives Boston a sizable starting-pitching advantage over Seth Lugo, whose 5.04 ERA makes him difficult to trust against this lineup at Fenway. Gray owns a 2.69 ERA with 17 wins, and Boston has the superior late-inning path. With the moneyline too expensive, I’ll lay the 1.5 runs instead.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game.
PHI
@
ATL
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.
CIN
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the game's 19th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dustin May.
CLE
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kaelen Culpepper o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kaelen Culpepper is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Kaelen Culpepper will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kaelen Culpepper will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
CHW
@
STL
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Kay in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kay has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Ivan Herrera will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
TEX
@
AZ
Fri, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o1.5 Total RBIs (+550)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jake Burger o1.5 Total RBIs (+525)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days.. Jake Burger has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.5-mph in the last 7 days.
SEA
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 97°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
J.P. Crawford o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park projects as the #2 venue in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 97°.
SD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 11 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Molina throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cronenworth's true offensive talent to be a .303, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 disparity between that figure and his actual .265 wOBA.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Molina in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
