Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. In the last week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 90.8 mph to 84.4 mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive skill to be a .326, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .027 difference between that mark and his actual .353 wOBA.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's game. James Wood has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryson Stott's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage today. Bryson Stott has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.7-mph.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. Trea Turner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 81-mph over the last week. In the past week, Trea Turner's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. In the past 14 days, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 90.6 mph to 86.2 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best batter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.8-mph to 90.4-mph over the past week. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 11.2% on the season to 23.1% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge today. Luis Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Andres Chaparro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the past 14 days, Ildemaro Vargas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.6-mph over the course of the season to 89.2-mph of late. Over the past week, Ildemaro Vargas's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12%. Posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Zack Wheeler in this game. There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz's launch angle from last year's 15.1° to 20.1° this season. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has had bad variance on his side given the .031 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Yepez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Juan Yepez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 87.1-mph. By putting up a .303 batting average this year, Juan Yepez is ranked in the 94th percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Johan Rojas has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph to 93.8-mph in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Call's skill is quite good, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 94th percentile.

Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's game. Jose Tena has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Weston Wilson has posted a .381 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.