MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jul 2 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Konnor Griffin logo
Konnor Griffin o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 3rd-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Konnor Griffin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 100°.. Bats such as Konnor Griffin with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Alan Rangel who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jul 2 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Edwin Arroyo logo
Edwin Arroyo o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jul 2 • 3:10 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have an advantage today.. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and T.J. Rumfield will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jakob Marsee is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Thu, Jul 2 • 6:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Braden Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Braden Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jul 2 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jul 2 • 7:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+205)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez's BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ian Seymour.
Total Home Runs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Cedric Mullins tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 2 • 8:05 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Higashioka logo
Kyle Higashioka u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Higashioka's BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -17° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Today, Kyle Higashioka is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (81st percentile).
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach McKinstry is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -17° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach McKinstry in today's game.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Thu, Jul 2 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Walbert Urena logo
Walbert Urena u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Projected catcher Logan O'Hoppe grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Walbert Urena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+139)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Thu, Jul 2 • 10:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 14th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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