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TOR vs CHC Picks
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TOR vs CHC Consensus Picks
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Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past week, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%. In the last week's worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.1%.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, George Springer will be in a tough position today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. George Springer's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.5-mph in the last 14 days. George Springer's launch angle this season (8.6°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.8° mark last season. Compared to his seasonal angle of 8.6°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.2°) over the last 14 days.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Ernie Clement will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ernie Clement in today's game. Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.8-mph over the last week. Over the past 7 days, Ernie Clement's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.5%.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
Kyle Hendricks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Hitting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Seiya Suzuki faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 93.2 mph to 86.9 mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) implies that Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate this year with his .266 actual batting average.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. Yariel Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.8-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.9-mph in the past 14 days. This year, Nico Hoerner's 1.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 1st percentile among his peers.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto
Will Wagner is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-deepest. Will Wagner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Will Wagner is not very quick, ranking in the 11th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.49 ft/sec this year.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup.
Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's game.
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Amaya has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 92-mph over the last 14 days.
TOR vs CHC Trends
Toronto Trends
                    
                The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 48 games (+19.70 Units / 37% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 78 games (-25.85 Units / -30% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 100 games (-16.15 Units / -13% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 98 games (-14.15 Units / -12% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 9 away games (-6.55 Units / -61% ROI)
Chicago Trends
                    
                The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 110 games (+11.50 Units / 10% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 49% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 93 games (-28.80 Units / -23% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 112 games (-22.35 Units / -18% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 47 games at home (-17.05 Units / -30% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 51 games at home (-15.70 Units / -26% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 47 games at home (-13.10 Units / -23% ROI)
TOR vs CHC Top User Picks
More PicksToronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 | 
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 | 
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 | 
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 | 
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 | 
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 | 
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 | 
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 | 
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 | 
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 | 
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 | 
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 | 
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 | 
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 | 
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 | 
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 | 
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 | 
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 | 
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 | 
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 | 
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||