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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.96 |
-230 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 -134 
|
|
3.96 |
+205 
|
u8.5 -102
|
+1.5 +115 
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yamamotos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lowders last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+130
|
o8.5 -121 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.85 |
-144
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+195 
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.80 |
-220
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Jaxs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
-210
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 -124
|
|
3.87 |
+185
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 +105
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowskis last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
-205
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
2.96 |
+180
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 +105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.38 |
-135
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +155
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+113
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -188
|
|
4.71 |
-130
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +165
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.89 |
-138
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+332)
o0.5+332
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
-175
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
3.58 |
+150
|
u8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -110
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+111
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+140
|
o8.0 -117
|
+2.5 -250
|
|
4.99 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +200
|
San Francisco
- Over is 7-0 in Giants last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Tidwells last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+114
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
3.91 |
-115
|
u8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +168
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+140
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.83 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.51 |
-188
|
o11.0 -110
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
5.82 |
+170
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 +110
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.14 |
+148
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -114
|
Seattle
- Over is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+130
|
o8.0 -152
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.03 |
-145
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.26 |
-134
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +126
|
|
|
4.32 |
+115
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 7-0 in Rodons last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.05 |
+100
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +172
|
|
|
4.81 |
-118
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
+170
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
|
4.82 |
-190
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +118
|
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.59 |
-205
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
|
3.99 |
+184
|
u8.5 +104
|
+1.5 +105
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in Snells last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.68 |
-136
|
o7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +122
|
|
|
4.54 |
+120
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Jones' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-140
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
|
4.17 |
+115
|
u7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 home starts.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.38 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
|
5.29 |
-145
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +135
|
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Bassitts last 9 road starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Kyle Tucker is scorching hot, launching three homers over his last six games while posting a ridiculous .632 ISO. He's also recorded a 29.4% barrel rate over the last week, and both Lowder and Cincinnati's bullpen have allowed plenty of loud contact. Tucker is firmly on my radar tonight.
Total
o8.5 (-109)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 55%. Cincinnati's bullpen has been a major liability, allowing 2.08 HR/9 with a 5.72 FIP over the last week, while Rhett Lowder is also struggling. That's a dangerous combination against a Dodgers lineup sporting a 126 wRC+ and .237 ISO over its last six games. Cincinnati should contribute enough to help push this Over.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Vargas boasts a high-end .290 ISO against lefties, and Guardians starter Foster Griffin has allowed a 37.9% hard-hit rate to right-handed hitters this season. I also value Vargas snapping out of a 6-for-33 slump to go alongside a .410 OPS with his two-run homer in the series opener last night.
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With ideal hitting conditions forecast at Progressive Field tonight, this Over has my attention to 54%. Guardians starter Foster Griffin sports a 5.18 xERA and 4.33 xFIP while allowing a healthy 35.8% hard-hit rate through his seven starts with the club, and the White Sox rank eighth in xwOBA across the past 30 days. Additionally, Chicago will have Davis Martin throwing bulk innings, and he's posted a 4.74 xERA and 5.46 xFIP across his two starts since returning from a finger blister.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Junior Caminero finds himself in another favorable spot against Athletics right-hander Jack Perkins. Through 40 elite ratings this season, Caminero has homered over 25% of the time. He has also been swinging a hot bat lately, posting a .538 SLG and .282 ISO over his last 10 games, alongside a near 50% hard-contact rate and 15.2% barrel rate. Perkins has struggled against right-handed hitters recently, with his last 30 faced generating a 15% barrel rate, 70% elevation rate and .517 xSLG.
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 18th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the game's 16th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today.. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+292)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge today.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. With a 1.39 K/BB rate this year, Spencer Horwitz has shown favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 92nd percentile.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-123)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I love this price at 54%, and would play the Phillies up to 58%. Cristopher Sanchez has absolutely owned this Nationals team throughout his career, limiting them to a .225 xBA and .276 xwOBA across 109 plate appearances - a sample size that includes a 0-for-11 mark from James Woods. We'll take that. On the other side is the Nats' No. 8 prospect, Jackson Kent, who's had a rough rookie campaign so far, coming off a three-inning, eight-hit, five-earned-run outing against the San Diego Padres. His 5.49 xERA suggests this loaded Phillies lineup should be able to ambush the 23-year-old early.
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Can you imagine getting +600 on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit a home run just a year ago? Of course he's deserving of that price now, but after hitting his first bomb at home two nights ago, I'm going back to the well here. He's just one game removed from a 4-for-5 performance at the dish, and with the Blue Jays' season hanging in the balance, look for him to get to Drew Anderson - his 8.4% barrel rate is among the worst in baseball.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto has been playing the best baseball of his rookie season with the Toronto Blue Jays' playoff dreams hanging in the balance. He's rocking a 1.115 OPS to go with five homers in September, which is absolutely absurd, and over his last 30 games, Okamoto is slashing .280/.361/.617 (.977 OPS) with nine homers and 18 RBI. He's cashed this play in five of his last seven games.
His 13.9% barrel rate is in the 91st percentile across all qualified hitters this season, too; suffice it to say, he should be able to run into one today against a contact pitcher like Drew Anderson.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Pete Alonso is my favorite home run look against Sean Manaea and the Mets tonight. While many bettors will immediately target Coby Mayo because Manaea is a lefty, Alonso has been absolutely crushing southpaws lately. Over his last 30 at-bats against left-handed pitching, he owns a .565 SLG and .261 ISO while generating a hard-hit rate above 76% and a barrel rate over 23%. That power profile lines up perfectly with Manaea’s recent struggles against right-handed hitters. Over his last 30 faced, righties have posted a .408 xBA, .788 xSLG, and .307 ISO. Alonso is the Orioles’ power bat to target tonight.
Total Home Runs
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (43.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+620)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With 47 career plate appearances against Atlanta starter Martin Perez, Bregman has the familiarity to cash in on this favorable matchup. Bregman has paced the majors in ISO against lefties in the second half while ranking second in ideal attack angle rate, after all.
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta starter Martin Perez sports an alarming 5.77 xERA and 5.13 xFIP across his past five starts, and Chicago veteran Kevin Gausman has surrendered three or more runs in four of his seven starts with the Cubbies. As a result, I like both offenses to put runs on the board and would play this Over 8.5 to -115. Chicago paces the majors in wOBA and ISO against lefties, and Atlanta ranks 10th in both metrics against righties, after all.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Luis Garcia Jr. finds himself in a strong spot against Bailey Ober tonight. The Yankees first baseman enters with an elite rating on Batters-Box and clears nearly 92% of Ober's arsenal. Garcia Jr. has been one of the hottest hitters in New York's lineup, sporting a .500 SLG, .206 ISO, a hard-hit rate over 57% and a barrel rate near 20%. The last 60 left-handed hitters Ober has faced are generating a nearly 50% hard-hit rate, while owning a .342 xBA, .562 xSLG and .349 xwOBA.
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+271)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Run it back with the captain! Aaron Judge is once again my favorite home run look in this matchup against Bailey Ober. The Minnesota right-hander has been crushed by right-handed hitters, who have posted a 45.5% hard-hit rate, 13.6% barrel rate and 72.8% elevation rate over their last 60 matchups. Those hitters also own a .365 xBA and .573 xSLG. Judge enters with the highest Batters-Box rating in this matchup and has homered nearly 30% of the time across 165 games when rated elite over the last three seasons. Trust the captain to get hot and stay hot.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 4.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 91.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Andre Pallante places in the 75th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox).. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jacob Metz) in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Given that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected offense.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joshua Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Joshua Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.
BOS
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Trevor Story o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cody Bradford in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Trevor Story has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.7° mark over the last 14 days.. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trevor Story has experienced some negative variance given the .038 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's matchup.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Bats such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Salvador Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93.4-mph over the past week.. Over the last week, Salvador Perez's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-128)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Padres are in a prime spot to keep mashing against Kyle Freeland, who has struggled mightily at home this season. Freeland owns a 5.10 ERA and 1.48 WHIP at Coors Field while allowing a near-10% barrel rate to opposing hitters. San Diego's lineup has been red-hot, posting a 143 wRC+, .852 OPS and .372 wOBA over its last six games. Batters-Box also gives Freeland the worst pitcher rating on the slate, with seven elite-rated hitters and another carrying a strong rating. With the Padres rolling offensively, they should be able to produce 3+ runs on Freeland.
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+419)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Jackson Merrill is seeing the ball extremely well, combining three homers over the last week with elite contact quality. His 60.9% hard-hit rate and 26.1% barrel rate during that stretch jump off the page, and both Freeland and Colorado’s bullpen have been vulnerable to the long ball.
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Johnson.. Cal Raleigh has big-time HR ability (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Ryan Johnson has a pitch-to-contact profile (21st percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Griffin Conine o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Griffin Conine ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Griffin Conine is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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