Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. This year, Edmundo Sosa has been pulled from the game early in 23% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 43.7% to 38.5%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has had positive variance on his side this year with his .269 actual batting average.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Alec Bohm has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal average has dropped to 71-mph over the past week. Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, putting up a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .028 disparity.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In the past 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle this season (9.3°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° figure last year.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Over the past 7 days, Nick Castellanos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90.6 mph to 86.2 mph.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today. James Wood has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Over the past two weeks, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.4-mph over the last 7 days. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryson Stott has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.7-mph figure.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Andres Chaparro has been hot of late, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past week. Andres Chaparro has displayed some good exit velocity metrics lately, averaging 96.8-mph on his flyballs in the last 7 days.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. In the past 7 days, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85-mph over the course of the season to 89-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 4.5°, Jacob Young has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 7.7° angle over the past two weeks.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph to 92.3-mph over the last 7 days.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Juan Yepez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 87.1-mph. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Juan Yepez has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Juan Yepez has put up a .294 batting average this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Aaron Nola in this game. Despite posting a .269 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .025 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia's launch angle this season (8.7°) is considerably higher than his 4.5° angle last year.

Alex Call is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Sporting a 1.51 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Call has shown good plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Weston Wilson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Using Statcast data, Weston Wilson ranks in the 98th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .381.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 86°. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Jose Tena has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Riley Adams has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Marsh has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.